The Wayback Machine - https://web.archive.org/web/20240223123445/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hec.4712
Volume 32, Issue 9 p. 2047-2079
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Information shocks and celebrity exposure: The effect of “Magic” Johnson on AIDS diagnoses and mortality in the U.S.

Alexander Cardazzi

Corresponding Author

Alexander Cardazzi

Department of Economics, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, Virginia, USA

Correspondence

Alexander Cardazzi, Department of Economics, Old Dominion University, 2101 Constant Hall, Norfolk, VA 23508, USA.

Email: [email protected]

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Joshua C. Martin

Joshua C. Martin

LGBT Policy Lab, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, USA

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Zachary Rodriguez

Zachary Rodriguez

Department of Economics, Union College, Schenectady, New York, USA

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First published: 09 June 2023

Abstract

We present evidence that Earvin “Magic” Johnson's announcement that he contracted HIV served as a public-health catalyst for rapidly correcting the public's understanding of who was at risk of infection. Using a novel identification strategy, we present evidence that there was a large but temporary increase in the number of AIDS diagnoses for heterosexual men following the announcement. This effect was concentrated in areas with greater prior exposure to Johnson. We show that these men were both more likely to have been diagnosed via a formal blood test and less likely to die within 1 decade of their initial diagnosis—suggesting that Johnson's announcement caused an intertemporal substitution in testing which prolonged patients' lifespans as a result of earlier access to medical care. We estimate that Johnson's announcement caused approximately 800 additional heterosexual males in the United States in metropolitan statistical areas with National Basketball Association franchises men to discover their underlying AIDS diagnosis and, of whom, were more likely to live at least 1 decade beyond their initial diagnosis date.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST STATEMENT

The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

The data that support the findings of this study are available within the CDC Wonder and the National Health Interview Survey databases at https://wonder.cdc.gov/ and https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhis/index.htm, respectively.

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