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2025 United States gubernatorial elections

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For related races, see 2025 United States elections.
2025 United States gubernatorial elections
← 2024 November 4, 2025 2026 →
← 2021
2029 →
2 governorships
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Seats before 27 23
Seats up 1 1
2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election2025 Virginia gubernatorial election
     Term-limited Republican      Term-limited Democrat

United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 4, 2025, in two states, New Jersey and Virginia. These elections will be held as part of the 2025 United States elections. The last gubernatorial elections for New Jersey and Virginia were in 2021. Both incumbents are ineligible to run for re-election due to term limits. More states may hold elections due to a gubernatorial vacancy (depending on a state's constitution) or recall of a governor.[1][2]

Partisan composition

[edit]

Going into the election, there are 27 Republican governors and 23 Democratic governors in the United States. This class of governors is made up of 1 Republican and 1 Democrat. Republicans are defending one governorship in a state that Kamala Harris won in 2024 (Virginia). Democrats are defending one governorship in a state that Harris won (New Jersey).

Election predictions

[edit]

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.

Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State PVI Incumbent Last
race 		Cook
May. 1,
2025[3] 		IE
Feb. 6,
2025[4] 		Sabato
Apr. 30,
2025[5]
New Jersey D+6 Phil Murphy
(term-limited) 		51.2% D Lean D Lean D Lean D
Virginia D+3 Glenn Youngkin
(term-limited) 		50.6% R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip)


Race summary

[edit]
State Governor Party First elected Last race Status Candidates
New Jersey Phil Murphy Democratic 2017 51.2% D Term-limited
Virginia Glenn Youngkin Republican 2021 50.6% R Term-limited

New Jersey

[edit]
Main article: 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election

Governor Phil Murphy was re-elected to a second term in 2021 with 51.2% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the New Jersey Constitution and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Jersey City mayor Steven Fulop, former New Jersey Senate president Stephen Sweeney, U.S. Representatives Josh Gottheimer and Mikie Sherrill, and Newark mayor Ras Baraka are running for the Democratic nomination.[11][17][6][12][14] Former state assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli, who was the 2021 Republican gubernatorial nominee, state senator Jon Bramnick, and former radio host Bill Spadea are seeking the Republican nomination.[10][8][15]

Virginia

[edit]
Main article: 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election
Virginia gubernatorial election
← 2021
2029 →
 
Nominee Winsome Earle-Sears Abigail Spanberger
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Glenn Youngkin
Republican



Governor Glenn Youngkin was elected in 2021 with 50.6% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Virginia Constitution and cannot seek re-election for a second consecutive term. Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears is the Republican nominee.[22] Former U.S. Representative for Virginia's 7th congressional district Abigail Spanberger is the Democratic nominee.[23] The winner of this election will become the first female governor in Virginia's history.

References

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  1. ^ "Phil Murphy narrowly reelected governor in New Jersey, defeating Republican Jack Ciattarelli". 6abc Philadelphia. Associated Press. November 3, 2021. Retrieved November 3, 2021.
  2. ^ "Term Limits on Governor". U.S. Term Limits. Retrieved November 3, 2021.
  3. ^ "2025 CPR Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report.
  4. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". insideelections.com. Retrieved February 7, 2025.
  5. ^ Coleman, J. Miles (April 30, 2025). "The Governors, Part One: Democrats Start as Favorites in 2025 New Jersey and Virginia Races". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 30, 2025.
  6. ^ a b Wildstein, David (February 19, 2024). "Baraka Says He'll Run For Governor In 2025". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved February 19, 2024.
  7. ^ Blackburn, Zach (March 24, 2025). "Longshot Republican says he has enough signatures to reach gubernatorial ballot". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved March 24, 2025.
  8. ^ a b Wildstein, David (January 27, 2024). "Bramnick joins race for N.J. governor". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved January 28, 2024.
  9. ^ "Cedrone, Gerardo". elec.nj.gov/. New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission. January 11, 2023. Retrieved December 19, 2023.
  10. ^ a b Wildstein, David (April 9, 2024). "Jack Ciattarelli launches bid for governor, pledging to cut taxes and spending". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  11. ^ a b Wildstein, David (April 11, 2023). "Fulop announces bid for Governor in 2025". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
  12. ^ a b Sobko, Katie (November 15, 2024). "Rep. Josh Gottheimer makes it official: He's running for governor of New Jersey". North Jersey. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
  13. ^ Wildstein, David (January 29, 2025). "Ex-Englewood Cliffs mayor will run for governor". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved January 29, 2025. Kranjac will have the backing of Mike Crispi, the chairman of America First Republicans of New Jersey. Crispi, who launched an exploratory committee last year, said tonight that he will not run for governor.
  14. ^ a b Friedman, Matt (November 18, 2024). "New Jersey Rep. Mikie Sherrill's campaign for governor takes flight". Politico. Retrieved November 18, 2024.
  15. ^ a b "New Jersey Morning Host Bill Spadea To Run For Governor". Radio Ink. June 17, 2024. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
  16. ^ Wildstein, David (June 14, 2023). "Spiller will run for governor". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
  17. ^ a b Racioppi, Dustin (December 11, 2023). "Sweeney enters NJ governor's race after upset loss as Senate president". Politico. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  18. ^ "Stephen Zielinksi". Ballotpedia. Retrieved December 11, 2024.
  19. ^ Vozzella, Laura; Schneider, Gregory S. (September 5, 2024). "Virginia Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears announces her candidacy for governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 5, 2024.
  20. ^ Rankin, Sarah (November 13, 2023). "Virginia Rep. Abigail Spanberger is running for governor instead of seeking reelection to the House". AP News. The Associated Press. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
  21. ^ Guerra, Shirleen (March 21, 2025). "Virginia's 2025 gubernatorial election update". The Center Square. Retrieved March 26, 2025.
  22. ^ Nadeau, Ryan (April 5, 2025). "Earle-Sears secures Republican nomination for Virginia governor, creating historic gubernatorial ticket". WIRC. Retrieved April 5, 2025.
  23. ^ Fortinsky, Sarah (April 3, 2025). "Spanberger confirmed as Democratic nominee for Virginia governor's race". The Hill. Retrieved April 3, 2025.
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