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2026 United States Senate election in Maine

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2026 United States Senate election in Maine

← 2020 November 3, 2026 (2026-11-03) 2032 →
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Susan Collins
Republican



The 2026 United States Senate election in Maine will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Maine. Incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins plans to run for re-election to a sixth term in office. This will be the only Republican-held Senate seat up for election in 2026 in a state that Kamala Harris won in the 2024 presidential election. This election will coincide with U.S. House elections for Maine's two congressional districts, a gubernatorial election, and various other state, county and local elections.

Background

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A sparsely populated state in New England, Maine is one of the most rural states in the nation and is considered to be a moderately blue state, having voted for every Democratic presidential nominee since 1992. Democrats also control the governorship, the state legislature, and both seats in Maine's U.S. House congressional delegation.[1]

Collins was first elected in 1996 and was re-elected in four subsequent elections, significantly outperforming other Republicans in the state. In 2020, despite almost all polls and analysts predicting that she would lose her re-election bid, Collins unexpectedly defeated Democratic nominee Sara Gideon by about eight percentage points. Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden carried Maine by about nine percentage points on the same ballot.[2]

As the only Republican-held Senate seat up for election in a state that Kamala Harris won in the 2024 presidential election and Collins' record of overperformance despite the state's Democratic lean, Maine is considered a key Senate battleground in 2026. This Senate seat has been held by Republicans since 1979. With the decline of ticket splitting and being in a midterm year with a Republican president, Collins is widely viewed as the most vulnerable Republican incumbent senator.[3][4]

Republican primary

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Collins was first elected in 1996. With Collins being a moderate and potential swing vote, she could face a more conservative primary opponent.[5] However, she has the firm backing of national Republicans.[6]

Candidates

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Declared

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  • Dan Smeriglio, former police officer[7]

Publicly expressed interest

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Endorsements

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Susan Collins (not declared)
Organizations

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Susan Collins (R) $3,602,617 $1,682,892 $3,214,918
Source: Federal Election Commission[10]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Filed paperwork

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Publicly expressed interest

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Potential

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Independent and third party candidates

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Candidates

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Declared

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Phillip Rench (I) $52,787 $7,045 $45,742
Source: Federal Election Commission[10]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Inside Elections[19] Battleground February 20, 2025
The Cook Political Report[20] Lean R February 13, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Lean R March 12, 2025
Race To The WH[22] Tossup April 27, 2025

References

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  1. ^ "Maine Democrats say they won enough seats to control state Senate". spectrumlocalnews.com. Retrieved December 7, 2024.
  2. ^ Everett, Burgess (November 4, 2020). "Collins wins again in Maine, boosting Senate GOP". POLITICO. Retrieved December 7, 2024.
  3. ^ Coleman, J. Miles (July 11, 2024). "The Shocking Decline of Senate Ticket-Splitting". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
  4. ^ a b c Stanton, Andrew (November 14, 2024). "Susan Collins' Reelection Plan Throws a Wrench in Democrats' Senate Hopes". Newsweek. Retrieved November 14, 2024.
  5. ^ Bolton, Alexander (November 14, 2024). "Tuberville: 'We're gonna try to get you out of the Senate if you vote against Trump". The Hill. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
  6. ^ "Who will Democrats find to run against Susan Collins in 2026?". Piscataquis Observer. Retrieved April 27, 2025.
  7. ^ Collins, Steve (February 18, 2025). "A Frenchville Republican challenges Susan Collins". Sun Journal. Retrieved February 19, 2025.
  8. ^ Shepherd, Michael (November 15, 2024). "Susan Collins plans to run for historic 6th term in 2026". Piscataquis Observer. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
  9. ^ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved April 28, 2025.
  10. ^ a b "2026 Election United States Senate - Maine". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  11. ^ Kobin, Billy (April 23, 2025). "Democrat with national ties announces 2026 bid to unseat Susan Collins". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  12. ^ Bartow, Adam (February 26, 2025). "Growing field: First Democrat files to challenge Sen. Susan Collins". WMTV. Retrieved February 26, 2025.
  13. ^ Solender, Andrew (April 10, 2025). "House leaders face growing horde of members grasping for higher office". Axios. Retrieved April 11, 2025. Rep. Jared Golden (D-Maine) signaled he could run for Senate or governor, telling Axios he is 'running for reelection to my seat as far as I know, but I'll look at statewide offices. I'm not taking anything off the table.'
  14. ^ a b c d Kobin, Billy (April 19, 2025). "Who will Democrats find to run against Susan Collins in 2026?". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved April 19, 2025.
  15. ^ Shepherd, Michael; Kobin, Billy (March 7, 2025). "Former Maine Senate President Troy Jackson explores a run for governor". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved March 7, 2025.
  16. ^ Billings, Randy (November 29, 2024). "Gov. Mills doesn't rule out challenging Susan Collins for U.S. Senate in 2026". Press Herald. Retrieved December 2, 2024.
  17. ^ Solender, Andrew (November 27, 2024). "Scoop: A huge wave of House members is eyeing runs for other offices in 2026". Axios. Retrieved November 28, 2024.
  18. ^ Fahlberg, Audrey (March 7, 2025). "Ex-Democrat SpaceX Engineer Challenging Maine Senator Susan Collins as an Independent". National Review. Retrieved April 12, 2025.
  19. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
  20. ^ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 11, 2025.
  21. ^ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  22. ^ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved April 4, 2025.
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Official campaign websites